Global Warming Politics

Global Warming Politics

Today, my old sparring partner, John Vidal of The Guardian/The Observer, writes a good piece on the impossibilities of meeting Gordon Brown’s wind energy targets [‘UK wind farm plans on brink of failure’, The Observer, October 19]. John does not go far enough, however. The whole project is ill-thought out:
(a)The UK currently accounts for only 1.87% of world carbon emissions, a proportion that is falling quickly with the growth of the developing countries, and especially of China, India, and Brazil. Achieving one third of our energy from wind power by 2020 will have no effect, predictable or otherwise, on climate. Indeed, taking into account the massive amounts of steel, concrete, and transport required in constructing these vast arrays of wind turbines, the development of wind power will actually result in an initial rise in carbon emissions;
(b)Opting for wind power, especially offshore, is the most expensive choice, one that will impose huge costs on electricity generation and distribution, but more importantly on the general public and business consumers, who will be hit by high price rices precisely at a time when recession is already putting households and jobs under severe strain;
(c)Thirdly, an additional argument goes as follows: “Alright, (a) and (b) above might well be true [admitted through gritted teeth], but we must set an example to the rest of the world on climate change, and this will provide a great chance for us to lead the world in technology for a low carbon future.” Unfortunately, where wind power is concerned, these points are hopelessly wrong. Meteorologically-speaking, the parts of the world where wind power is a serious option are limited, the UK being an exception, not the rule. Moreover, the idea that we are leading the world in wind-power technology is laughable, as most of the technology, equipment, and engineering comes from abroad, from countries such as Germany.
In essence, Brown’s policy is lunacy. As John rightly reports, even the wind power industry itself admits that the targets are completely unrealistic:
“A major threat to Britain’s ambitions for renewable energy will emerge this week when wind industry leaders admit that targets set for 2020 are looking increasingly unrealistic.
They will use a high-profile conference in London to warn Gordon Brown that there is little chance of achieving the government’s goal - of wind generating one third of all UK electricity within 12 years - without a huge injection of public money.”
I love that last bit - “a huge injection of public money.” Of course! But just think of the costs to the consumer, and to the marginal poor in energy terms.
Gordon Brown will tell the delegates at the annual conference of the British Wind Energy Association (BWEA) that the UK industry is now a world leader.
This is ‘pie-in-the-sky’ politics. The harsh realities are that we have a severe shortage of engineers; the rising demand for wind-power equipment cannot be met; companies are currently pulling out of wind power because of rising costs; and two-thirds of proposals are rejected, with even the Ministry of Defence concerned over the effects on its radar coverage.
But most importantly of all, the programme will have no effects on climate change whatsoever.
This is Gordon Brown at his Scottish blethering worst. The public should not be fooled.
Gordon Brown’s Blethering Over Wind
Sunday, 19 October 2008